BLOG Post #443: Trump and China–The Rocky Road Ahead 22 Nov 2024 Cooperation or Competition? On November 7, 2024, Xi Jinping sent a congratulatory message to President-elect Trump that said: “A stable, healthy, sustainably developing China-US relationship fits with the common interests…
BLOG Post #442: Donald Trump’s Tariff Fantasies 15 Nov 202415 Nov 2024 Tariff Man Donald Trump thinks the world of tariffs. “Tariffs are the greatest thing ever invented,” Trump said in September at a town hall event in Michigan. On another…
BLOG Post #441: The Nightmare Returns 6 Nov 2024 Fascism in Charge In his novel The Plot Against America, Philip Roth depicts the rise to the presidency in the late 1930s of Charles Lindbergh, the pilot who made…
BLOG Post #440: Give Peace a Chance? No Way 22 Oct 202422 Oct 2024 Three Developments That Might Lead to Talks Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu commented a week or so ago: “We will do to Lebanon what we did to Gaza.” That…
BLOG Post #439: Peak China 8 Oct 2024 Signs of Peaking China’s economy has probably peaked in size and performance. The era of investment and credit expansion seems to be over. As Bloomberg recently reported, factory output has…
BLOG Post #438: On the Brink in the Middle East 26 Sep 20241 Nov 2024 Signaling an Invasion Israel’s planting of explosive material in pagers and walkie-talkies could be the forerunner to an invasion of southern Lebanon. Defense minister Yoav Gallant implied as much when…
BLOG Post #437: The Republicans’ “China Week” 16 Sep 20241 Nov 2024 Targeting China “China Week” sounds like a time for celebrating Chinese culture and food. But for Republicans in the House of Representatives, it’s all about politics. They seem to…
BLOG Post #436: Cease-fire Agreements in the Middle East Seem More Remote than Ever 1 Sep 20241 Nov 2024 “Blood on His Hands” “After close to a year of neglect, Netanyahu doesn’t miss a single opportunity to ensure that there won’t be a deal. Not a day goes…
BLOG Post #435: China Views the US Election 26 Aug 20241 Nov 2024 China’s Analytical Challenges China’s America watchers have the same tough job that faces Donald Trump’s campaign: coming up with a new game plan after Joe Biden passed the torch…
BLOG Post #434: Project 2025, part 2 21 Aug 20241 Nov 2024 Last week I explored the politics of Project 2025, the far right’s plan for dismantling the so-called Deep State and replacing it with a President-centered authoritarian system designed with Donald…
BLOG Post #433: Project 2025: Authoritarian Rule and Foreign Policy Mayhem (Part 1) 10 Aug 20241 Nov 2024 A Far-Right Conspiracy in the Open Project 2025, the far-right’s ambitious policy planning guide published as Mandate for Leadership, is designed to dismantle the “Deep State” and install a president…
BLOG Post #432: Escalation and Miscalculation: How a Bigger War Might Happen in the Middle East 4 Aug 20241 Nov 2024 Fateful Choices Just a few weeks ago, the media were reporting that Israel and Hezbollah were edging closer to an agreement that would bring their deadly exchanges along the border…
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